by Sebastian Smith
US President Donald Trump campaigned frantically and frontrunning challenger Joe Biden stayed mostly out of sight Tuesday ahead of a pivotal televised debate with only two weeks until Election Day.
The contrast in campaign strategies between Trump, 74, and Biden, 77, has never been more pronounced: the Republican president left for another rally in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, while the Democrat played it cool at his home in Delaware.
Polls show Biden ahead and with the clock running down, he appears confident.
In any case, few could ever out-campaign Trump, who has rediscovered his old energy with daily, sometimes twice-daily rallies around the country since recovering from Covid-19 just over a week ago.
His latest rally was in Erie, a former Democratic stronghold that he won in 2016, symbolizing his successful capture of the white, working class vote that had long been loyal to the left and which Biden has been trying to claw back.
Trump’s message with 14 days to go has boiled down to a mix of optimism, telling Americans that the pandemic is practically over, and ever more extreme attempts to tar Biden as corrupt — even saying Tuesday that he wants the attorney general to open an investigation ahead of the election.
But, underlining how hard it is for him to escape the subject of the Covid-19 crisis, Trump’s wife Melania canceled plans to accompany him to Pennsylvania at the last minute, complaining of ongoing discomfort following her own bout with the virus.
This was to have been her first appearance alongside Trump at a rally in more than a year, possibly boosting his dire standing among women voters.
The trip was canceled due to a “lingering cough” following her infection, a spokeswoman said, raising questions about how well the first lady has really recovered.
After a difficult few weeks for his reelection hopes, compounded by three nights in hospital with the coronavirus, Trump believes he is storming into the final stretch with new momentum — even if published polls show little sign to support this theory.
“Things are changing fast,” Trump told the Fox & Friends program, claiming that his own polling showed Biden is “imploding.”
Both candidates will get something of a reality check on Thursday when they meet for their second and final televised debate.
To try and impose some sense of order after a chaotic first clash in September, the moderator will this time switch off the microphone of the candidate not meant to be speaking, thereby trying to thwart interruptions.
Biden is sure to go after Trump for his record on the pandemic, which has killed around 220,000 Americans and, despite the president’s frequent claims, is surging back rather than going away.
As for Trump, he has made clear his priority is to pursue his murky claim that Biden’s son Hunter sold access to his father in Ukraine and China when he was vice president under Barack Obama.
Trump upped his offensive Tuesday by calling on US Attorney General Bill Barr to investigate his “criminal” opponent “before the election.”
And he told Fox News that the accusation has sent Biden “into hiding.”
Trump is the subject of multiple allegations of sexual assault, corruption, and also is the first president to run for reelection after being impeached.
However, he won in 2016 in part thanks to the success of a last minute push to sow doubt about the honesty of his opponent Hillary Clinton.
He is dusting off that playbook again. Crowds at Trump’s rallies have even repurposed the old anti-Clinton chant for Biden, shouting “lock him up.”
According to a new poll from The New York Times/Siena College, Biden has a nine-point lead nationally.
Although this reflects the consensus of polls, there are outliers, including IBD/TIPP, which accurately predicted the 2016 shock result and sees a much tighter race now, with Biden only 2.3 points ahead.
Pennsylvania is one of the half-dozen states that Trump more or less has to win to amass enough electoral college votes to hold on to the presidency. Polls show Biden ahead there, though a Reuters/Ipsos poll this week showed the gap narrowing slightly.
Reflecting the state’s importance, the Biden team said that Obama would campaign in Pennsylvania on Wednesday and firebrand Senator Bernie Sanders, who is hugely popular with the Democrats’ left wing, will go on Saturday.
A key element in this year’s campaign is early voting, which is at record highs amid fears about the spread of the virus. So far, some 34 million Americans have already cast ballots, according to the independent US Elections Project.